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The dependence of the potential sustainability of a resource economy on the initial state: a comparison of models using the example of Russian oil extraction

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  • Bazhanov, Andrei

Abstract

The studies of the International Monetary Fund offer a model for recommending sustainable budget policy to oil-exporting countries including Russia. The model does not contain any resource as a factor of production and assumes that Russian oil reserves will be exhausted by the middle of the 21st century. The current paper examines the sustainability of open and closed models, which are calibrated on Russia's data and include a resource as a factor of production. The open-model case shows that monotonic economic growth is impossible given the current state of the Russian economy. This paper offers an approach for estimating changes that improve long-term sustainability.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 35870.

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Date of creation: 15 Dec 2011
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:35870

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Keywords: nonrenewable resource; weak sustainability; open imperfect economy; Russian oil extraction;

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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Bazhanov, Andrei, 2013. "Inefficiency and Sustainability," MPRA Paper 51815, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  2. Bazhanov, Andrei, 2011. "Investment and current utility change in dynamically inefficient economies," MPRA Paper 35487, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Bazhanov, Andrei, 2012. "Disregarded inefficiency may dominate sustainability policies," MPRA Paper 43621, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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