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Evaluating the Precision of Estimators of Quantile-Based Risk Measures

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Author Info
Cotter, John
Dowd, Kevin

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Abstract

This paper examines the precision of estimators of Quantile-Based Risk Measures (Value at Risk, Expected Shortfall, Spectral Risk Measures). It first addresses the question of how to estimate the precision of these estimators, and proposes a Monte Carlo method that is free of some of the limitations of existing approaches. It then investigates the distribution of risk estimators, and presents simulation results suggesting that the common practice of relying on asymptotic normality results might be unreliable with the sample sizes commonly available to them. Finally, it investigates the relationship between the precision of different risk estimators and the distribution of underlying losses (or returns), and yields a number of useful conclusions.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/3504/
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 3504.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:3504

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G00 - Financial Economics - - General - - - General

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  1. Frey, Rudiger & McNeil, Alexander J., 2002. "VaR and expected shortfall in portfolios of dependent credit risks: Conceptual and practical insights," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1317-1334, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Cotter, John & Dowd, Kevin, 2006. "Extreme spectral risk measures: An application to futures clearinghouse margin requirements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 30(12), pages 3469-3485, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-27.


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