On the Long-Run Monetary Neutrality: Evidence from the SEACEN Countries
AbstractThis paper tests the long run neutrality (LRN) and long run superneutrality (LRSN) propositions using annual observation from 10 member countries of the South East Asian Central Banks (SEACEN) Research and Training Centre. The Fisher and Seater (1993) methodology is applied to do the task. Special attention has been given in identifying the number of unit root and cointegrating vector, as a meaningful LRN (LRSN) test is critically depends on such properties. Empirical results reveal that LRN can be deviated from the case of Asian developing economies. In particular, monetary expansion seems to have long run positive effect on real output in the economies of Indonesia, Taiwan and Thailand. However, LRSN is neither fail or not addressable in our study.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 31762.
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Neutrality and superneutrality of money; sequential unit root test; SEACEN;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- O53 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Asia including Middle East
- C12 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Hypothesis Testing: General
- E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
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