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Heuristic Schelling: economy of organized crime

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  • Estrada, Fernando

Abstract

This article proposes a reading of the armed conflict from an evolutionary design that takes into account the concept of private protection agencies in the works of Schelling. Their aim is to assess the dynamics of conflict and changes from its author's scientific output. A context of conflicts that includes new expressions of violence and the relative failure of the paramilitary reintegration involves using new analytical models (argumentation, game theory and inconsistent information). The recent evolution of emerging gangs and their expansion into areas that were paramilitary camps requires monitoring not only of the government and the authorities, but those investigating the conflict in the present tense. The author provides heuristic research support from Schelling’s theory of strategy, recent contributions to the relationship between organized crime and drug cartels.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 31306.

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Date of creation: 06 Jun 2011
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:31306

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Keywords: Colombia; Government; Civil War; Latin America; Security; Protection Agencies.;

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References

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  1. Joshua D. Angrist & Adriana Kugler, 2005. "Rural Windfall or a New Resource Curse? Coca, Income, and Civil Conflict in Colombia," NBER Working Papers 11219, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Michelle R. Garfinkel, 2003. "On the Stability of Group Formation: Managing the Conflict Within," Public Economics 0312005, EconWPA, revised 04 Mar 2004.
  3. Michelle R. Garfinkel, 2003. "Stable Alliance Formation in Distributional Conflict," Public Economics 0305001, EconWPA, revised 16 Jun 2003.
  4. Garfinkel, Michelle R. & Skaperdas, Stergios, 2007. "Economics of Conflict: An Overview," Handbook of Defense Economics, Elsevier.
  5. Fernando, Estrada, 2007. "La información y el rumor en zonas de conflicto
    [The information and rumor in zones of conflict]
    ," MPRA Paper 20344, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  6. Daniel Mejía & Carlos Esteban Posada, 2003. "Capital Destruction, Optimal Defense and Economic Growth," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 002096, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  7. Estrada, Fernando, 2005. "Estado mínimo, agencias de protección y control territorial
    [Minimum State, control agencies and Territorial protection]
    ," MPRA Paper 20172, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 20 Jan 2010.
  8. Herschel I. Grossman & Daniel Mejia, 2005. "The War Against Drug Producers," NBER Working Papers 11141, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Ragnar L�fstedt, 2002. "Editorial," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 1-2, January.
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