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La Curva de Retorno y el Modelo C-CAPM: Evidencia para Chile

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  • González, Manuel

Abstract

This document tries to show how the capital asset pricing model based on the consumption theory under uncertainty could reproduce the statistical moments of Chilean interest rates. In order to reach this objective a model like the one proposed by Lucas (1980) is simulated and the parameters of the model are estimated by means of the simulated method of moments. To carry out the simulations, processes for the rate of growth of endowment were specified covering AR (1), GARCH (1,1) and Markov switching specifications. Results show that the performance of the model is not the most adequate, but between the three chosen specifications, the one that allows for the coexistence of two states for the rate of growth of the endowment of the economy is the best in reproducing moments of interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • González, Manuel, 2004. "La Curva de Retorno y el Modelo C-CAPM: Evidencia para Chile," MPRA Paper 309, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:309
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Muñoz, Jorge & Recabal, Claudio & Acuña, Andrés, 2007. "La política monetaria y su impacto sobre los retornos reales del mercado bursátil chileno
      [Monetary Policy and its impact over the Chilean stock market's real returns]      ," MPRA Paper 14392, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumption-CAPM Model; Simulated Method of Moments; Markov Switching Processes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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