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Causal Links Between Trade And Economic Growth Evidence From Turkey And European Union Countries

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  • Karahasan, Burhan Can

Abstract

Openness and economic growth is discussed by heavy concentration on the deterministic relationship running from trade flows to economic growth. While traditional motive of export promotion based growth strategies is heavily discussed, it is the modern growth theories that define possible alternative mechanisms. Technology transfer, place of innovation and spillovers are at the center of the debate. However it is the more contemporary studies that also underline the possible reverse relationship. Originating from such a discussion the study aims to search for the causal relationship by working on a new European Union candidate country, Turkey. Results point out that short term dynamics illustrates a two way relationship.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 29809.

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Date of creation: 2009
Date of revision: 2011
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:29809

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Keywords: international trade; causality; Turkey;

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  1. Awokuse, Titus O., 2007. "Causality between exports, imports, and economic growth: Evidence from transition economies," Economics Letters, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 389-395, March.
  2. Balassa, Bela, 1978. "Exports and economic growth : Further evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 181-189, June.
  3. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
  4. Engle, Robert F & Granger, Clive W J, 1987. "Co-integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 251-76, March.
  5. Xiaming Liu & Haiyan Song & Peter Romilly, 1997. "An empirical investigation of the causal relationship between openness and economic growth in China," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 29(12), pages 1679-1686.
  6. Rivera-Batiz, Luis A & Romer, Paul M, 1991. "Economic Integration and Endogenous Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, MIT Press, vol. 106(2), pages 531-55, May.
  7. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-38, July.
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