Continuous time modeling of interest rates: An empirical study on the Turkish short rate
AbstractWe proposed a continuous time ARMA known as CARMA(p,q) model for modeling the interest rate dynamics. CARMA(p,q) models have an advantage over their discrete time counterparts that they allow using Ito formulas and provide closed-form solutions for bond and bond option prices. We demonstrate the capabilities of CARMA(p,q) models by using Turkish short rate. The Turkish Republic Central Bank’s benchmark bond prices are used to calculate short-term interest rates between the period of 15.07.2006 and 15.07.2008. ARMA(1,1) model and CARMA(1,0) model are chosen as best suitable models in modeling the Turkish short rate.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 28091.
Date of creation: 15 Nov 2010
Date of revision:
Interest rate modeling; Continuous-time ARMA (CARMA)process; Lévy process;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
- C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2011-01-30 (All new papers)
- NEP-ARA-2011-01-30 (MENA - Middle East & North Africa)
- NEP-CWA-2011-01-30 (Central & Western Asia)
- NEP-MON-2011-01-30 (Monetary Economics)
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