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Reliability and Heterogeneity of Real Estate Indexes and their Impact on the Predictability of Returns

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  • Sampagnaro, Gabriele
  • Battaglia, Francesca

Abstract

This paper addresses the issue of data quality in the real estate market. In many countries, the returns indices for direct markets are provided by several sources differing in terms of the methodology adopted and index weights. These differences produce a lack of informative standardization, which could negatively affect the ability of market participants to make predictions. By focusing on the Italian real estate market, the aim of the paper is therefore twofold: to investigate the reliability of property data sources, and to assess the impact for financial intermediaries involved in real estate investments. Our results show a significant level of divergence between the data, and considerable implications for those financial institutions dealing with them. These findings conflict with the requirements of an efficient (or at least sub-efficient) market.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 23378.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:23378

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Keywords: real estate; data divergence; IRR; efficient frontier;

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Cited by:
  1. Krzysztof Olszewski, 2012. "The impact of commercial real estate on the financial sector, its tracking by central banks and some recommendations for the macro-financial stability policy of central banks," National Bank of Poland Working Papers 132, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.

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