Testing the Weak Form Efficiency in Pakistan’s Equity, Badla and Money Markets
Abstract
The paper test the weak form market efficient hypothesis for Pakistan’s equity, badla and money markets with an aim to investigate which one of them is most efficient in the weak form sense. The analysis provides evidence, under the assumption of heteroscedasticity, that the KSE is weak-form efficient over the full-length sample period. Nevertheless, the analysis reports that over the same period the other two markets viz. badla and money are not weak form efficient. The badla market was efficient over the first sub-period. An important finding of this effort is that “badla mechanism” became weak form inefficient after equity market severely affected in February 2005. Inefficient badla market may be one of the major reasons behind the malicious instability of the equity market in Pakistan. We hope that this finding can guide the policymakers in formulating strategies to provide a weighing scale in financial mechanism.Download Info
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 22285.Length:
Date of creation: 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:22285
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Related research
Keywords: Weak Form Efficiency; Stock Returns; Badla Rate; Repo Rate; March Crises; Variance-Ratio Tests;Find related papers by JEL classification:
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
- E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
- G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
References
References listed on IDEASPlease report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
- Andrew W. Lo & A. Craig MacKinlay, 1989.
"Stock Market Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks: Evidence From a Simple Specification Test,"
NBER Working Papers
2168, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew W. Lo, A. Craig MacKinlay, 1988. "Stock Market Prices do not Follow Random Walks: Evidence from a Simple Specification Test," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 1(1), pages 41-66.
- Bessembinder, Hendrik & Chan, Kalok, 1992. "Time-varying risk premia and forecastable returns in futures markets," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 169-193, October.
- Neftci, Salih N & Policano, Andrew J, 1990. "On Some Sample Path Properties of Intra-day Futures Prices," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 72(3), pages 529-36, August.
- Hausman, Jerry A, 1978. "Specification Tests in Econometrics," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 46(6), pages 1251-71, November.
- Richardson, Matthew P & Smith, Tom, 1994. "A Unified Approach to Testing for Serial Correlation in Stock Returns," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 67(3), pages 371-99, July.
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