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The Possible Trade Effects of the Third Enlargement: The Case of Turkish Exports to EU

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  • Deger, Cagacan

Abstract

This paper aims to comment on the trade impact of the new wave of European enlargement with the membership of Central and Eastern European Countries (CEEC) by focusing on the case of Turkish exports to EU members, new member countries and candidate countries. It is calculated that once the membership process of new members are completed by 2006, growth rate of Turkish exports to EU between 2001 and 2006 may slow down whereas the growth rate of Turkish exports to new member countries between 2001 and 2006 may increase.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/21746/
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 21746.

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Date of creation: Sep 2003
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:21746

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Related research

Keywords: European Union; Central and Eastern European Countries; international trade; gravity equation;

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  1. Frankel, Jeffrey A & Stein, Ernesto & Wei, Shang-Jin, 1996. "Regional Trading Arrangements: Natural or Supernatural," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 86(2), pages 52-56, May.
  2. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 1997. "Regional Trading Blocs in the World Economic System," Peterson Institute Press: All Books, Peterson Institute for International Economics, number 72.
  3. Bergstrand, Jeffrey H, 1985. "The Gravity Equation in International Trade: Some Microeconomic Foundations and Empirical Evidence," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 67(3), pages 474-81, August.
  4. McCallum, John, 1995. "National Borders Matter: Canada-U.S. Regional Trade Patterns," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 85(3), pages 615-23, June.
  5. Anderson, James E, 1979. "A Theoretical Foundation for the Gravity Equation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 69(1), pages 106-16, March.
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