Effects of Macroeconomic Variables on Stock Prices in Malaysia: An Approach of Error Correction Model
AbstractThis paper attempts to examine the short-run and long-run causal relationship between Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) and selected macroeconomic variables namely inflation, money supply and nominal effective exchange rate during the pre and post crisis period from 1987 until 1995 and from 1999 until 2007 by using monthly data. The methodology used in this study is time series econometric techniques i.e. the unit root test, cointegration test, error correction model (ECM), variance decomposition and impulse response function. The findings show that there is cointegration between stock prices and macroeconomic variables. The results suggest that inflation, money supply and exchange rate seem to significantly affect the KLCI. These variables considered to be emphasized as the policy instruments by the government in order to stabilize stock prices.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 20970.
Date of creation: 27 Apr 2009
Date of revision:
Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange; Money Supply; Nominal Effective Exchange Rate; ECM;
Find related papers by JEL classification:
- A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
- A10 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - General
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:
- NEP-ALL-2010-03-13 (All new papers)
- NEP-MAC-2010-03-13 (Macroeconomics)
- NEP-SEA-2010-03-13 (South East Asia)
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