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A contribution to the empirics of crime

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Author Info
Andrea, Borlizzi
Abstract

In this thesis I consider two questions. First, I examine the extent to which economic versus sociological theories explain the variation in property and violent crime rates separately. Second, I consider how the relative economic position of a community among neighboring areas may be associated with crime. Both economic and sociological theories suggest that higher inequality may be associated with crime. Economic theories imply that inequality may be positively correlated with crime through its effect on the differential returns from criminal activity versus legitimate pursuits. This suggests that there would be no relationship between crime and inequality, if the benefits and costs of crime participation are controlled. However, sociological theories of crime imply that inequality may have effects on crime through other channels such as lack of social capital, lack of upward mobility, or social disorganization. The empirical evidence on the crime-inequality relationship generally shows a positive relationship. However, there are several limitations in this literature. First, the unit of analysis for which crime is examined is relatively large (e.g. country, states and large metropolitan areas). Various studies suggest that the appropriate geographical unit to study crime might well be much smaller, such as neighborhood. Some recent studies have examined crime at the commune, city block, police precinct level, respectively, but none of these studies address the issue of local inequality and crime. Second, comparability of definitions of crime categories and well-being indicators poses serious problems for most cross-country studies. Finally, most studies treat crime markets as closed, meaning that only the characteristics of own area, and not those of neighboring areas, are allowed to influence the crime rates. This assumption quickly loses appeal when geographical units are such that travel for legitimate or illegitimate activities between them is plausible. Using data for the eight categories of crime during 1998-2002 in three cities of the US (Nashville, TN; Portland, OR; and Tucson, AZ), I address the limitations summarized above. The geographical unit used in the analysis is block group. The results show that, controlling for economic and structural characteristics, there is statistically significant correlation between local inequality and levels of almost all categories of crime. The unemployment rate and racial heterogeneity are powerful predictors of the level of crime in an area. However, results do not support the hypothesis that criminals travel to wealthier areas in order to commit crime. Finally, I find strong evidence in support of both the Social Control and the Routine Activities theories.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 18326.

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Date of creation: 15 May 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:18326

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Related research
Keywords: crime; local inequality; unemployment; catchment area; unit of analysis; count regression models;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D63 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Equity, Justice, Inequality, and Other Normative Criteria and Measurement
D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances
R12 - Urban, Rural, and Regional Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)

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  1. Matz Dahlberg & Magnus Gustavsson, 2008. "Inequality and Crime: Separating the Effects of Permanent and Transitory Income," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 70(2), pages 129-153, 04. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Raphael, Steven & Winter-Ember, Rudolf, 2001. "Identifying the Effect of Unemployment on Crime," Journal of Law & Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 44(1), pages 259-83, April.
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  3. Lederman, Daniel & Loayza, Norman & Menendez, Ana Maria, 2002. "Violent Crime: Does Social Capital Matter?," Economic Development and Cultural Change, University of Chicago Press, vol. 50(3), pages 509-39, April.
  4. Glaeser, Edward L & Sacerdote, Bruce & Scheinkman, Jose A, 1996. "Crime and Social Interactions," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 111(2), pages 507-48, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Ehrlich, Isaac, 1973. "Participation in Illegitimate Activities: A Theoretical and Empirical Investigation," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 521-65, May-June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Gary S. Becker, 1968. "Crime and Punishment: An Economic Approach," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 76, pages 169. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Demombynes, Gabriel & Ozler, Berk, 2005. "Crime and local inequality in South Africa," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 265-292, April. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Fajnzylber, Pablo & Lederman, Daniel & Loayza, Norman, 2002. "What causes violent crime?," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(7), pages 1323-1357, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Edward L. Glaeser & Bruce Sacerdote, 1999. "Why Is There More Crime in Cities?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 107(S6), pages S225-S258, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  10. Chiu, W. Henry & Madden, Paul, 1998. "Burglary and income inequality," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 123-141, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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