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Assessing Indonesia's sustainable development: long-run trend, impact of the crisis, and adjustment during the recovery period

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Author Info
Alisjahbana, Armida
Yusuf, Arief Anshory

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Abstract

We adopt the definition of sustainability as “non-declining welfare per capita”, and measure genuine savings and change in wealth per capita as indicator of weak sustainability. The results suggests that the overall trend in sustainability as measured by changes in wealth per capita had shown that the Indonesian economy during the last twenty years had not been on a sustainable path. Despite this, sustainability had been on an improving long-run trend due to the restructuring of the economy away from oil and gas sector, towards more reliant on secondary and tertiary economic activities. However, the need for more appropriate approach in managing mineral, forest resources depletion, as well as environmental degradation caused by industrial sector’s pollution is called for as they had rapidly becoming a growing problem. Measures of sustainability during the economic crisis and its adjustment period clearly show that the crisis had adversely affected the positive trend in sustainability through a combination of reduction in savings rate and increases in natural resources depletion. This has rephrased the importance of economic growth in the context of sustainable development, and provided empirical evidence that economic crisis had created incentives for more rapid natural resources extraction that could endanger sustainable development. Relevant policies to help address both problems are discussed.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 1736.

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Date of creation: 04 Oct 2003
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Publication status: Published in Asean Economic Bulletin 21.3(2004): pp. 290-307
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:1736

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Related research
Keywords: Genuine Savings Changes in Wealth per Capita Sustainable Development Indonesia

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
Q01 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - General - - -

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  1. Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Thanoon, Marwan A. & Rashid, Salim, 2003. "Saving dynamics in the Asian countries," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 13(6), pages 827-845, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Vincent, J. & Casteneda, B., 1997. "Economic Depreciation of Natural Resources in Asia and Implications for Net Savings and Long-Run Consumption," Papers 614, Harvard - Institute for International Development.
  3. Masson, Paul R & Bayoumi, Tamim & Samiei, Hossein, 1998. "International Evidence on the Determinants of Private Saving," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 12(3), pages 483-501, September.
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  4. Anuradha Dayal-Gulati & Christian Thimann, 1997. "Saving in Southeast Asia and Latin America Compared - Searching for Policy Lessons," IMF Working Papers 97/110, International Monetary Fund.
  5. Hamilton, Kirk & Clemens, Michael, 1999. "Genuine Savings Rates in Developing Countries," World Bank Economic Review, Oxford University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 333-56, May.
  6. Hamilton, Kirk, 2000. "Sustaining economic welfare : estimating changes in per capita wealth," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2498, The World Bank. [Downloadable!]
  7. Dasgupta, Partha & M Ler, Karl-G Ran, 2000. "Net national product, wealth, and social well-being," Environment and Development Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(01), pages 69-93, February. [Downloadable!]
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