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Volatility Spillover Between the Stock Market and the Foreign Exchange Market in Pakistan

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Author Info
Qayyum, Abdul
Kemal, A. R.

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Abstract

Our paper examines the volatility spillover between the stock market and the foreign exchange market in Pakistan. For long run relationship we use Engle Granger two step procedure and the volatility spillover is modelled through bivariate EGARCH method. The estimated results from cointegration analysis show that there is no long run relationship between the two markets. The results from the volatility modelling show that the behaviour of both the stock exchange and the foreign exchange markets are interlinked. The returns of one market are affected by the volatility of other market. Particularly the returns of the stock market are sensitive to the returns as well as the volatility of foreign exchange market. On the other hand returns in the foreign exchange market are mean reverting and they are affected by the volatility of stock market returns. There is strong relationship between the volatility of foreign exchange market and the volatility of returns in stock market.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/1715/
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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 1715.

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Date of creation: 2006
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:1715

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Related research
Keywords: Stock Market Forex Market EGARCH Volatility Spillover Stock market return Foreign Exchange return Pakistan

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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  1. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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