Child Benefit and Fiscal Burden: OLG Model with Endogenous Fertility

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Child Benefit and Fiscal Burden: OLG Model with Endogenous Fertility

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Kazumasa, Oguro
Junichiro , Takahata
Manabu, Shimasawa

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Kazumasa Oguro

Abstract

In this paper, we present an OLG simulation model with endogenous fertility in order to analyze the relationship between child benefit and fiscal burden in Japan. Our simulation results show that expansion of the child benefit will improve the welfare of current and future generations. On the other hand, our findings show that we cannot expect a significant long-term improvement in welfare solely from implementing a policy of increasing the consumption tax. If both the sustainability of the fiscal budget and the improvement of the welfare of current and future generations are requirements, we will need to promote a strategy consisting of such components as a policy-mix that includes both child benefit expansion and additional fiscal reform, i.e. increasing the consumption tax. Implementation of such a policy-mix could be expected to yield a higher economic level in the welfare of current and future generations than could be expected solely from consumption tax reform.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 16132.

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Date of creation: Jul 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:16132

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy
J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation
D61 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Allocative Efficiency; Cost-Benefit Analysis
J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends and Forecasts

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

NEP-ALL-2009-07-17 (All new papers)
NEP-CMP-2009-07-17 (Computational Economics)
NEP-DGE-2009-07-17 (Dynamic General Equilibrium)
NEP-MAC-2009-07-17 (Macroeconomics)

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