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Predicting real GDP per capita in France, Germany, New Zealand, and the UK

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Author Info
Kitov, Ivan

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Abstract

The growth rate of real GDP per capita is modelled and predicted at various time horizons for France, Germany, New Zealand, and the United Kingdom. The rate of growth is represented by a sum of two components – a monotonically decreasing trend and fluctuations related to the change in country-specific age population. The trend is an inverse function of real GDP per capita with constant numerator. Similar analysis was conducted for the USA and Japan.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 15503.

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Date of creation: 01 Jun 2009
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:15503

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Related research
Keywords: real GDP per capita; modelling; prediction; population;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
O5 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies
O4 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity
E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
E3 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Kitov, Ivan, 2006. "The Japanese economy," MPRA Paper 2737, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Kitov, Ivan, 2006. "Real GDP per capita in developed countries," MPRA Paper 2738, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  3. Kitov, Ivan, 2009. "Does economics need a scientific revolution?," MPRA Paper 14476, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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  4. Kitov, Ivan & Kitov, Oleg & Dolinskaya, Svetlana, 2008. "Comprehensive macro-model for the U.S. economy," MPRA Paper 9808, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-26.

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