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Información privilegiada, administración de riesgos y utilidades esperadas: Una aplicación de los juegos de señalización al estudio de crisis cambiarias

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  • Ruiz-Porras, Antonio

Abstract

In this paper we study the hypothesis of “divergent expectations” with a signaling game. Such hypothesis points out that, in emerging economies, local investors tend to be front-runners in a currency crisis. Our analysis shows that changes in the informational structure available to the investors change their risk management practices. Particularly, if local investors have privileged information, about the likelihood of problems in the economy, they will monopolize the available asset returns and expected utilities. Furthermore the sum of expected utilities of local and foreign investors will be lower than the one achieved without information asymmetries.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/1441/
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 1441.

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Date of creation: 31 Dec 2006
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Publication status: Forthcoming in Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics) 1.1(2007): pp. 56-63
Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:1441

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Keywords: privileged information. risk management; expected utilities; currency crises; divergent expectations;

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  1. Massimo Sbracia & Andrea Zaghini, 2000. "Expectations and Information in Second Generation Currency Crises Models," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0462, Econometric Society.
  2. Cornand, Camille & Heinemann, Frank, 2006. "Optimal Degree of Public Information Dissemination," Discussion Paper Series of SFB/TR 15 Governance and the Efficiency of Economic Systems 158, Free University of Berlin, Humboldt University of Berlin, University of Bonn, University of Mannheim, University of Munich.
  3. Chan, Kenneth S. & Chiu, Y. Stephen, 2002. "The role of (non-)transparency in a currency crisis model," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(2), pages 397-416, February.
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