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A proper test of overconfidence

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  • Benoît, Jean-Pierre
  • Dubra, Juan
  • Moore, Don

Abstract

In this paper we conduct two proper tests of overconfidence. We reject the hypothesis "the data cannot be generated by a rational model" in both experiments.

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File URL: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/11954/
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 11954.

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Date of creation: 05 Dec 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:11954

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Related research

Keywords: Overconfidence; Better than Average; Experimental Economics; Irrationality; Signalling Models;

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  1. Roland Bénabou & Jean Tirole, 2002. "Self-Confidence And Personal Motivation," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, MIT Press, vol. 117(3), pages 871-915, August.
  2. Botond Köszegi, 2006. "Ego Utility, Overconfidence, and Task Choice," Journal of the European Economic Association, MIT Press, MIT Press, vol. 4(4), pages 673-707, 06.
  3. Erik Hoelzl & Aldo Rustichini, 2005. "Overconfident: Do You Put Your Money On It?," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, Royal Economic Society, vol. 115(503), pages 305-318, 04.
  4. Dan Lovallo & Colin Camerer, 1999. "Overconfidence and Excess Entry: An Experimental Approach," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, American Economic Association, vol. 89(1), pages 306-318, March.
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