A simulation model of public debt sustainability

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A simulation model of public debt sustainability

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Albu, Lucian-Liviu

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Lucian Liviu Albu

Abstract

There is a long period since the problem of public debt sustainability captures the attention of economists. However, there is no unanimity concerning an adequate unique sustainability indicator or function generally accepted. Just in this line of elaborating new models and improving methodologies in order to quantify the impact of various factors on public debt sustainability is our paper. Moreover, last years, during its pre- and post-accession into EU period, Romanian economy is facing to numerous problems. Among these, the public debt sustainability plays a central role, its implications practically expanding on all fields connected to the economic dynamics.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 11713.

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Date of creation: 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:11713

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods
H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt
H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

NEP-ALL-2008-11-25 (All new papers)

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Hussein, Khaled A. & de Mello, Luiz Jr., 2001. "Is foreign debt portfolio management efficient in emerging economies?," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 66(1), pages 317-335, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Other versions:
- Douglas W. Elmendorf & N. Gregory Mankiw, 1998. "Government debt," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 1998-09, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
- Douglas W. Elmendorf & N. Gregory Mankiw, 1998. "Government Debt," NBER Working Papers 6470, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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Robert J. Barro, 1988. "The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits," Working Papers 728, Queen's University, Department of Economics.
Other versions:
- Robert J. Barro, 1989. "The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits," NBER Working Papers 2685, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
- Barro, Robert J, 1989. "The Ricardian Approach to Budget Deficits," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 3(2), pages 37-54, Spring. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Albu, Lucian Liviu, 2002. "Sustainability Function," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 5-14, June.

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