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Are Options on Index Futures Profitable for Risk Averse Investors? Empirical Evidence

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Author Info
Constantinides, George M.
Jackwerth, Jens Carsten
Czerwonko, Michal
Perrakis, Stylianos

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Abstract

American call and put options on the S&P 500 index futures that violate the stochastic dominance bounds of Constantinides and Perrakis (2007) over 1983-2006 are identified as potentially profitable investment opportunities. Call bid prices more frequently violate their upper bound than put bid prices do, while evidence of underpriced calls and puts over this period is scant. In out-of-sample tests, the inclusion of short positions in such overpriced calls, puts, and, particularly, straddles in the market portfolio is shown to increase the expected utility of any risk averse investor and also increase the Sharpe ratio, net of transaction costs and bid-ask spreads. The results are strongly supportive of mispricing. (JEL G11, G13, G14)

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 11644.

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Date of creation: 16 Mar 2008
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:11644

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Related research
Keywords: Risk Averse; Option; Index Futures;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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  3. Constantinides, George M. & Perrakis, Stylianos, 2002. "Stochastic dominance bounds on derivatives prices in a multiperiod economy with proportional transaction costs," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 26(7-8), pages 1323-1352, July. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. Jobson, J D & Korkie, Bob M, 1981. "Performance Hypothesis Testing with the Sharpe and Treynor Measures," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 36(4), pages 889-908, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  10. Robert C. Merton, 1973. "Theory of Rational Option Pricing," Bell Journal of Economics, The RAND Corporation, vol. 4(1), pages 141-183, Spring. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Constantinides, George M. & Jackwerth, Jens Carsten & Perrakis, Stylianos, 2007. "Option Pricing: Real and Risk-Neutral Distributions," MPRA Paper 11637, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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