IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/por/obegef/004.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Economia não registada em Portugal

Author

Listed:
  • Óscar Afonso

    (Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Porto, CEFUP, OBEGEF)

  • Nuno Gonçalves

    (OBEGEF)

Abstract

This paper aims to contribute to a better understanding of the volume of the Non-Observed Economy (ENR) in Portugal, by estimating, based on MIMIC models (multiple indicators multiple causes), its path in the period 1977- 2008. Given, on the one hand, the infl uence of the tax burden, the burden of regulation and the evolution of the labour market and, on the other hand, its impact on monetary, labour-market and production indicators, it is estimated that the weight of ENR in the offi cial GDP in Portugal has evolved since the 19%, in 1977, up to 23%, in 2008. In particular, it is observed that after the fall in the period 1977-1982, the ENR showed an upward trend in the subsequent period, which has stabilized around 21%, since 1994. However, from the end of 2007, there is again an increasing pattern. Finally, results show that the growth of ENR in Portugal tends to positively affect the growth of the official economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Óscar Afonso & Nuno Gonçalves, 2009. "Economia não registada em Portugal," OBEGEF Working Papers 004, OBEGEF - Observatório de Economia e Gestão de Fraude;OBEGEF Working Papers on Fraud and Corruption.
    • Handle: RePEc:por:obegef:004
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.fep.up.pt/repec/por/obegef/files/wp004.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Non-Observed Economy; fiscality; regulation; model MIMIC; Portugal.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O17 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Formal and Informal Sectors; Shadow Economy; Institutional Arrangements
    • C39 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Other
    • H10 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government - - - General
    • H26 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Tax Evasion and Avoidance

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:por:obegef:004. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no bibliographic references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Rui Henrique Alves (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.