The Price of Risk and Ambiguity in an Intertemporal General Equilibrium Model of Asset Prices
AbstractWe consider a version of the intertemporal general equilibrium model of Cox et al. (1985a) with a single production process and two correlated state variables. It is assumed that only one of them, Y2, has shocks correlated with those of the economy's output rate and, simultaneously, that the representative agent is ambiguous about its stochastic process. This implies that changes in Y2 should be hedged and its uncertainty priced, with this price containing risk and ambiguity components. Ambiguity impacts asset pricing through two channels: the price of uncertainty associated with the ambiguous state variable, Y2, and the interest rate. With ambiguity, the equilibrium price of uncertainty associated with Y2 and the equilibrium interest rate can increase or decrease, depending on the relation between (i) the correlations between the shocks in Y2 and those in the output rate and in the other state variable; (ii) the diffusion functions of the stochastic processes for Y2 and for the output rate; and (iii) the gradient of the value function with respect to Y2. As applications of our generic setting, we deduct the model of Longstaff and Schwartz (1992) for interest-rate-sensitive contingent claim pricing and the variance risk price specification in the option pricing model of Heston (2003).
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto in its series FEP Working Papers with number 399.
Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2011
Date of revision:
Ambiguity; asset pricing; equilibrium price of uncertainty;
Other versions of this item:
- Gonçalo Faria & João Correia-da-Silva, 2012. "The price of risk and ambiguity in an intertemporal general equilibrium model of asset prices," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(4), pages 507-531, November.
- C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
- D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
- G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
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- Gonçalo Faria & João Correia-da-Silva, 2012. "Is Stochastic Volatility relevant for Dynamic Portfolio Choice under Ambiguity?," FEP Working Papers 472, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto.
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