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Explaining Government Spending: a Cointegration Approach

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Author Info
Abel Costa Fernandes () (Faculdade de Economia, Universidade do Porto)
Abstract

Based on a comprehensive theoretical model we investigate the determinants of government spending. Besides GDP, commonly associated with either Walra´s law or Keynesian macro stabilization policies, we consider some variables identified with the public choice approach, namely median voters, pressure groups and the ideology of the government in power. These other variables are women, elderly population and population occupied in agriculture. The model is tested empirically using Johansen´s cointegration technique for the cases of Australia and Canada with data on general government expenditure, thus covering all government sectors, including social security. For the most part, we find long-run relationships among the variables and with the expected signs.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto in its series FEP Working Papers with number 311.

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Length: 16 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2009
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Handle: RePEc:por:fepwps:311

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Related research
Keywords: Public Economics; Public Choice; Government spending; Interest groups;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
H20 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - General
H39 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Other
H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Nagarajan, P & Spears, A, 1990. "An Econometric Test of Wagner's Law for Mexico: A Re-examination," Public Finance = Finances publiques, , vol. 45(1), pages 165-68.
  2. Robert J. Barro, 1991. "Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries," NBER Working Papers 3120, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Pedro Rui Mazeda Gil & Paulo Brito & Óscar Afonso, 2008. "A Model of Quality Ladders with Horizontal Entry," FEP Working Papers 296, Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto. [Downloadable!]
  4. Niskanen, William A, 1975. "Bureaucrats and Politicians," Journal of Law & Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 18(3), pages 617-43, December.
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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