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Dilemas macroeconómicos e política monetária: o caso da Zona Euro

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  • Manuel M. F. Martins

    ()
    (CEMPRE, Faculdade de Economia do Porto, Universidade do Porto)

Abstract

Descreve-se o essencial do essencial da tese Macroeconomic Trade-offs and Monetary Policy in the Euro Area (Martins, 2002), incorporando revisões, actualizações e extensões contidas nos artigos da respectiva disseminação internacional (Aguiar e Martins, 2005a, 2005b, 2005c). Tendo em vista a divulgação a cientistas de outras disciplinas, omite-se detalhes e complexidades técnicas e baseia-se a exposição em argumentos e gráficos intuitivos. Após uma breve revisão sobre dilemas macroeconómicos e política monetária, descreve-se três estudos neste âmbito relativos à Área do Euro. Primeiro, estuda-se as configurações do dilema de Phillips entre níveis de inflação e do desemprego e da Lei de Okun relacionando ciclos do emprego e do produto. Segundo, a partir de dados do dilema de Taylor entre variabilidades da inflação e do produto, estima-se a data de emergência de facto e os parâmetros do regime agregado de política monetária na Área. Finalmente, testa-se hipóteses de assimetrias nas preferências reveladas pela autoridade nesse regime agregado.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Universidade do Porto, Faculdade de Economia do Porto in its series FEP Working Papers with number 221.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2006
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:por:fepwps:221

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Keywords: Zona Euro; Curva de Phillips; Lei de Okun; Regime de Política Monetária; Assimetrias;

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