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Stock Market Reaction to Catastrophic Shock: Evidence from Listed Pakistani Firms

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Author Info
Attiya Y. Javid (Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, Islamabad.)

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Abstract

This study examines the effect of the earthquake of October 8, 2005 on the price behaviour and activities of KSE. Sixty firms are selected from those listed on Karachi Stock Exchange, and the results are informative about the price behaviour of the stock market in response to unanticipated shock. The results reveal the fact that the earthquake had both a positive and a negative information content for KSE stocks. There is an increase in the return and volume of the cement, steel, food, and banking sectors, which indicates that investors have expectations of the upcoming demand of investment in these sectors. Furthermore, there is no significant increase in the volatility, because the investors seem certain about the future outlook and they take into account the March 2005 market crash. These findings support the fact that the stock market of Pakistan is reactive to unanticipated shocks and it takes no time to impact the market activities. The evidence also suggests that the Pakistani stock market is resilient, and that it recovered soon after the catastrophic shock.

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File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/Working%20Paper/WorkingPaper-37.pdf
File Format: application/pdf
File Function: First Version, 2007
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Pakistan Institute of Development Economics in its series PIDE-Working Papers with number 2007:37.

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Length: 31 pages
Date of creation: 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pid:wpaper:2007:37

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Postal: Quaid-i-Azam University Campus, P.O.Box 1091, Islamabad-44000
Phone: (92)(51)9206610
Fax: (92)(51)9210886
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Web page: http://www.pide.org.pk
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Related research
Keywords: Catastrophic Shock Market Model GARCH Specification Average Return Market Volume Market Volatility

Find related papers by JEL classification:
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing
C11 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Bayesian Analysis
C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods

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This page was last updated on 2008-10-31.


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