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Estimating the Role of Government Expenditure in Long-run Consumption

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Author Info
David Aristei
Luca Pieroni

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Abstract

In this paper we provide empirical evidence of the relationship between government purchases and private expenditure by adopting a microeconomic approach. Using UK quarterly data, a long-run demand system conditioned to the public sector is obtained by specifying a vector error correction model in which government consumption is assumed as an exogenous I(1) forcing variable. Our findings reject the hypothesis of separability of individual preferences between public and private expenditures, with simultaneous crowding out/in effects. Moreover, crowding out effects of government consumption on private spending are found to be larger for those goods and services that produce similar utility.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Università di Perugia, Dipartimento Economia, Finanza e Statistica in its series Quaderni del Dipartimento di Economia, Finanza e Statistica with number 13/2005.

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Date of creation: 14 Jun 2005
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Handle: RePEc:pia:wpaper:13/2005

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Related research
Keywords: Private and public expenditures; Crowding out; Conditional demand systems; Separability; Vector Error Correction Models.;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
H4 - Public Economics - - Publicly Provided Goods

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:

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    Other versions:
  7. Harbo, Ingrid, et al, 1998. "Asymptotic Inference on Cointegrating Rank in Partial Systems," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 388-99, October.
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  9. Jean-Marie Dufour & Lynda Khalaf, 1999. "Simulation Based Finite- and Large-Sample Inference Methods in Simultaneous Equations," Computing in Economics and Finance 1999 824, Society for Computational Economics.
  10. Rosella Levaggi, 1999. "Does Government Expenditure Crowd Out Private Consumption in Italy? Evidence from a Microeconomic Model," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 241-251, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  16. Karras, Georgios, 1994. "Government Spending and Private Consumption: Some International Evidence," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 26(1), pages 9-22, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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    Other versions:
  22. Neary, J. P. & Roberts, K. W. S., 1980. "The theory of household behaviour under rationing," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 25-42, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  23. Aschauer, David Alan, 1993. "Fiscal Policy and Aggregate Demand: Reply," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(3), pages 667-69, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. D. Aristei & Luca Pieroni, 2008. "Cointegration Rank Test and Long Run Specification: A Note on the Robustness of Structural Demand Systems," Discussion Papers 0809, University of the West of England, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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