What Drives Monetary Policy?
AbstractUnder its charter, the mandated duty of the BSP is to maintain price stability, yet there are many ways of translating this objective into a workable framework for monetary policy. Under the monetarist framework that forms the basis of the IMF's financial programming approach, including its program with the Philippine Government, this means that controlling the growth of the money supply is key to controlling inflation. This is the basic approach that has been in use in the Philippines since the mid-1980s. This study is an attempt to understand how monetary policy is conducted today, if and how it differs from the manner it was conducted in the past, whether monetary authorities are faithful to the tenets of the theories they say underlie their framework, and whether any lessons have been learned at least since the onset of the Asian financial crisis in July 1997. The basic finding is that the framework being used by the monetary authorities currently cannot be described as monetarist in the tradition of QTM. The results of the Granger tests performed, albeit a crude form of empirical testing, tend to support the hypothesis that what drives monetary policy in this country is basically concerns over the exchange rate. It appears that the authorities use monetary growth reactively, to set a floor on the rate of peso depreciation directly, as a way of ultimately control the rate of inflation.
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Bibliographic InfoPaper provided by University of the Philippines School of Economics in its series UP School of Economics Discussion Papers with number 200105.
Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2001
Date of revision:
Publication status: Published as UPSE Discussion Paper No. 2001-05, March 2001
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- Roberto S Mariano Delano & Delano P Villanueva, 2006. "Monetary policy approaches and implementation in Asia: the Philippines and Indonesia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Monetary policy in Asia: approaches and implementation, volume 31, pages 207-226 Bank for International Settlements.
- John Michael Ian S. Salas, 2004. "The Philippine Central Bank's Monetary Policy Reaction Function from 1992 to 2003," Macroeconomics 0405021, EconWPA.
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