IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/phd/dpaper/dp_2013-31.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Analysis of the President`s Budget for 2013

Author

Listed:
  • Manasan, Rosario G.

Abstract

This study presents an evaluation of the National Expenditure Program for 2013. First, this paper projects that the fiscal targets set out in the Budget of Expenditures and Sources of Financing (BESF) for 2013 are likely to be met. Specifically, fiscal deficit is projected to be PHP 9.6 billion lower than the BESF at PHP 231 billion, while government revenue is estimated to be equal to PHP 1.8 trillion in 2013 which is also higher than the BESF projection. This is despite the expectation that the BOC collections and nontax revenues will be just equal to the 2011 and 2012 levels. Additional revenues is thus sourced from the BIR collections, which is estimated to reach PHP 1.26 trillion in 2013, exceeding the President`s Budget`s estimate of PHP 1.24 trillion. Second, although a more balanced distribution of the budget between the social services and economic services sectors is emphasized in the 2013 National Expenditure Program, the services sector still accounts for more than half of the increase in expenditure program in 2013. Finally, the improving debt profile of the country will continue in 2013. National government borrowing will continue to be biased in favor of domestic borrowings.

Suggested Citation

  • Manasan, Rosario G., 2013. "Analysis of the President`s Budget for 2013," Discussion Papers DP 2013-31, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
  • Handle: RePEc:phd:dpaper:dp_2013-31
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.pids.gov.ph/publication/discussion-papers/analysis-of-the-president-s-budget-for-2013
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anand, Ritu & van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 1989. "Inflation and the Financing of Government Expenditure: An Introductory Analysis with an Application to Turkey," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank Group, vol. 3(1), pages 17-38, January.
    2. Annalisa Fedelino & Mark A Horton & Anna Ivanova, 2009. "Computing Cyclically-Adjusted Balances and Automatic Stabilizers," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 09/05, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Manasan, Rosario G. & Parel, Danileen Kristel C., 2013. "Amending the Sin Tax Law," Discussion Papers DP 2013-19, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    4. Manasan, Rosario G., 2011. "Expanding Social Health Insurance Coverage: New Issues and Challenges," Discussion Papers DP 2011-21, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    5. Manasan, Rosario G., 2011. "Analysis of the President`s Budget for 2012," Discussion Papers DP 2011-20, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    6. Manasan, Rosario G., 2010. "Financing the MDGs and Inclusive Growth in the Time of Fiscal Consolidation," Discussion Papers DP 2010-34, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    7. World Bank, 2005. "Philippines : Meeting the Infrastructure Challenges," World Bank Publications - Reports 8459, The World Bank Group.
    8. Briones, Roehlano M. & David, Cristina C. & Inocencio, Arlene B. & Intal, Ponciano Jr. S. & Geron, Maria Piedad S. & Ballesteros, Marife M., 2012. "Monitoring and Evaluation of Agricultural Policy Indicators," Discussion Papers DP 2012-26, Philippine Institute for Development Studies.
    9. Ms. Annalisa Fedelino & Mr. Mark A Horton & Anna Ivanova, 2009. "Computing Cyclically-Adjusted Balances and Automatic Stabilizers," IMF Technical Notes and Manuals 2009/005, International Monetary Fund.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Rosario G. Manasan, 2013. "Analysis of the President's Budget for 2013," Working Papers id:5391, eSocialSciences.
    2. Amelie BARBIER-GAUCHARD & Kea BARET & Alexandru MINEA, 2019. "National Fiscal Rules Adoption and Fiscal Discipline in the European Union," Working Papers of BETA 2019-40, Bureau d'Economie Théorique et Appliquée, UDS, Strasbourg.
    3. Reicher, Claire, 2014. "A set of estimated fiscal rules for a cross-section of countries: Stabilization and consolidation through which instruments?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 184-198.
    4. Mauricio Villafuerte & Pablo López-Murphy & Rolando Ossowski, 2011. "Riding the Roller Coaster: Fiscal Policies of Nonrenewable Resources Exporters in Latin America and the Caribbean ," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 609, Central Bank of Chile.
    5. Baum, Anja & Eyraud, Luc & Hodge, Andrew & Jarmuzek, Mariusz & Kim, Young & Mbaye, Samba & Ture, Elif, 2018. "How to calibrate fiscal rules : a primer," MPRA Paper 86423, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Nicoletta Batini & Alessandro Cantelmo & Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2021. "How loose, how tight? A measure of monetary and fiscal stance for the euro area," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 73(4), pages 1536-1556.
    7. Amélie Barbier-Gauchard & Kea Baret & Alexandru Minea, 2021. "National fiscal rules and fiscal discipline in the European Union," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(20), pages 2337-2359, April.
    8. Dante Souza Cardoso & Laura Barbosa de Carvalho, 2023. "Effects of fiscal consolidation on income inequality: narrative evidence from South America," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 64(3), pages 1177-1218, March.
    9. Magda Kandil, 2020. "Determinants of policy variations and macroeconomic implications," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 199-238, February.
    10. Presiyana Nenkova & Angel Angelov, 2020. "Assessment of the Fiscal Stances of the Balkan States," Economic Archive, D. A. Tsenov Academy of Economics, Svishtov, Bulgaria, issue 4 Year 20, pages 14-34.
    11. International Monetary Fund, 2014. "Grenada: Ex Post Assessment of Longer-Term Program Engagement," IMF Staff Country Reports 2014/019, International Monetary Fund.
    12. Serhan Cevik & Vibha Nanda, 2020. "Riding the storm: fiscal sustainability in the Caribbean," International Review of Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(3), pages 384-399, May.
    13. Reicher, Claire, 2014. "Systematic fiscal policy and macroeconomic performance: A critical overview of the literature," Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal (2007-2020), Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel), vol. 8, pages 1-37.
    14. Kose, M. Ayhan & Kurlat, Sergio & Ohnsorge, Franziska & Sugawara, Naotaka, 2022. "A cross-country database of fiscal space," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    15. T.P. Koirala Ph.D., 2015. "Cyclicality in the Fiscal Policy of Nepal," NRB Working Paper 26/2015, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department.
    16. Philipp Heimberger, 2017. "Did fiscal consolidation cause the double-dip recession in the euro area?," Review of Keynesian Economics, Edward Elgar Publishing, vol. 5(3), pages 439-458, July.
    17. T.P. Koirala, Ph.D., 2015. "Cyclicality in the Fiscal Policy of Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 27(1), pages 37-48, April.
    18. Anusha Chari & Peter Blair Henry, 2015. "Two Tales of Adjustment: East Asian Lessons for European Growth," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 63(1), pages 164-196, May.
    19. Marcell Göttert & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2021. "Survey-Based Structural Budget Balances," CESifo Working Paper Series 8911, CESifo.
    20. Rajmund Mirdala, 2013. "Lessons Learned from Tax vs. Expenditure Based Fiscal Consolidation in the European Transition Economies," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp1058, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    fiscal deficit; tax effort; fiscal sustainability; expenditure program; Philippines; budget share; revenue program; financing program;
    All these keywords.

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:phd:dpaper:dp_2013-31. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Aniceto Orbeta (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/pidgvph.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.