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Fundamentals News, Global Liquidity and Macroprudential Policy

Author

Listed:
  • Enrique G. Mendoza

    (Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania)

  • Javier Bianchi

    (Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis)

  • Chenxin Liu

    (Department of Economics, UW-Madison)

Abstract

We study optimal macroprudential policy in a model in which unconventional shocks, in the form of news about future fundamentals and regime changes in world interest rates, interact with collateral constraints in driving the dynamics of financial crises. These shocks strengthen incentives to borrow in good times (i.e. when \good news" about future fundamentals coincide with a low-world-interest-rate regime), thereby increasing vulnerability to crises and enlarging the pecuniary externality due to the collateral constraints. Quantitatively, an optimal schedule of macroprudential debt taxes can lower the frequency and magnitude of financial crises, but the policy is complex because it features significant variation across interest-rate regimes and news realizations.

Suggested Citation

  • Enrique G. Mendoza & Javier Bianchi & Chenxin Liu, 2016. "Fundamentals News, Global Liquidity and Macroprudential Policy," PIER Working Paper Archive 15-043, Penn Institute for Economic Research, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania, revised 05 Dec 2016.
  • Handle: RePEc:pen:papers:15-043
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial crises; macroprudential policy; systemic risk; global liquidity; news shocks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D62 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Externalities
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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