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The Origins of Terrorism - Cross-Country Estimates on Socio-Economic Determinants of Terrorism

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Author Info
Andreas Freytag () (Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena)
Jens J. Krüger () (Technical University Darmstadt)
Daniel Meierrieks () (University of Paderborn)
Friedrich Schneider () (Johannes Kepler University of Linz)

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Abstract

To expand our knowledge about an appropriate anti-terror strategy, it is indispensable to assess the underlying causes of terror. We examine social and economic conditions in the country of origin of terrorist attacks, claiming that low opportunity costs of terror, e.g. approximated as slow growth and poor institutions raise the propensity of terror and the willingness in the population to support terror. Using a mixed effects Poisson regression model, we are able to show that unfortunate socio-economic conditions in a country are suitable to reduce the opportunity cost for potential terrorists and increase the likelihood of terrorist attacks originating from a specific country. Interestingly, this effect is relevant after a certain level of development has been reached. We therefore distinguish between the OECD, Europe and Islamic countries.

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File URL: http://groups.uni-paderborn.de/fiwi/RePEc/pdf/wpaper/WP19.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Paderborn, CIE Center for International Economics in its series Working Papers with number 19.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Jan 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pdn:wpaper:19

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Web page: http://www.uni-paderborn.de/fakultaeten/wiwi/department4/cie/
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Related research
Keywords: terror attacks; openness; discrete choice analysis; institutions;

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
P16 - Economic Systems - - Capitalist Systems - - - Political Economy of Capitalism
F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration
C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models

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  1. Caruso, Raul, 2008. "Al Qaeda as a Tournament: Empirical Evidence," MPRA Paper 11693, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-19.


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