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Explaining the Transition Probabilities in the Peruvian Labor Market

Author

Listed:
  • José Rodriguez

    (Departamento de Economía- Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú)

  • Gabriel Rodriguez

    (Departamento de Economía- Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú)

Abstract

El estudio tiene 2 objetivos. Primero establecer las principales características de la movilidad laboral; segundo analizar los determinantes de las principales transiciones entre los distintos estados de la ocupación. Para lograr el primer objetivo se utiliza matrices de transición que permiten analizar la dinámica de los mercados laborales y establecer los hechos estilizados de la movilidad laboral. Con relación al segundo objetivo, se ha modelado la pérdida de la ocupación utilizando regresiones logit de manera de poder identificar la importancia tanto de factores de demanda como de oferta. Para esto se utilizan muestras panel de las encuestas de hogares del período 2007-2010. Los resultados indican que existe un importante grado de movilidad entre los distintos estados, pero a nivel agregado estos movimientos tienden a cancelarse, con lo cual la distribución de la población a lo largo del tiempo en esos estados permanece constante. Con relación a la pérdida de ocupación, se ha logrado capturar el importante rol que cumplen las condiciones de demanda.

Suggested Citation

  • José Rodriguez & Gabriel Rodriguez, 2012. "Explaining the Transition Probabilities in the Peruvian Labor Market," Documentos de Trabajo / Working Papers 2012-334, Departamento de Economía - Pontificia Universidad Católica del Perú.
    • Handle: RePEc:pcp:pucwps:wp00334
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    File URL: http://files.pucp.edu.pe/departamento/economia/DDD334.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Céspedes, Nikita, 2015. "Creación y Destrucción de Empleos e Informalidad," Working Papers 2015-009, Banco Central de Reserva del Perú.

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    Keywords

    Markovian transition probabilities; Peruvian labor markets logit models; employment.;
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