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A note on the law of large numbers in economics

Author

Listed:
  • Patrizia Berti

    (Department of Mathematics, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia)

  • Michele Gori

    (Dipartimento di Matematica per le Decisioni, University of Florence)

  • Pietro Rigo

    (Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods, University of Pavia)

Abstract

Let (S, B, G ) and (T, C,Q) be probability spaces, with Q nonatomic, and H = {h in C : Q(H) > 0}. In some economic models, the following conditional law of large numbers (LLN) is requested. There are a probability space (O,A,P) and a process X = {Xt : t in T}, with state space (S, B), satisfying for each h in H, there is Ah in A with P(Ah) = 1 such that t --> X(t, w) is measurable and Q {t : X(t, w) in ·} | h = G(·) for w in Ah. If is not trivial and the sigma-field C countably generated, the conditional LLN fails in the usual (countably additive) setting. Instead, as shown in this note, it holds in a finitely additive setting. Also, X can be taken to have any given distribution. In fact, for any consistent set P of finite dimensional distributions, there are a finitely additive probability space (O,A,P) and a process X such that X tilde P and the conditional LLN is satisfied.

Suggested Citation

  • Patrizia Berti & Michele Gori & Pietro Rigo, 2010. "A note on the law of large numbers in economics," Quaderni di Dipartimento 131, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Quantitative Methods.
  • Handle: RePEc:pav:wpaper:131
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Judd, Kenneth L., 1985. "The law of large numbers with a continuum of IID random variables," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 19-25, February.
    2. Sun, Yeneng, 2006. "The exact law of large numbers via Fubini extension and characterization of insurable risks," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 126(1), pages 31-69, January.
    3. Al-Najjar, Nabil I., 2004. "Aggregation and the law of large numbers in large economies," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 1-35, April.
    4. Al-Najjar, Nabil I., 2008. "Large games and the law of large numbers," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 64(1), pages 1-34, September.
    5. Harald Uhlig, 1996. "A law of large numbers for large economies (*)," Economic Theory, Springer;Society for the Advancement of Economic Theory (SAET), vol. 8(1), pages 41-50.
    6. Sun, Yeneng & Zhang, Yongchao, 2009. "Individual risk and Lebesgue extension without aggregate uncertainty," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 144(1), pages 432-443, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Duffie, Darrell & Qiao, Lei & Sun, Yeneng, 2018. "Dynamic directed random matching," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 124-183.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Aggregate uncertainty; Extension; Finitely additive probability measure; Individual risk; Law of large numbers.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics
    • C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General

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