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Boom and Burst in Housing Market with Heterogeneous Agents (New Version)

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Author Info

  • Guido Ascari

    ()
    (Department of Economics and Management, University of Pavia)

  • Nicolò Pecora

    ()
    (Department of Economics and Social Sciences, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore)

  • Alessandro Spelta

    ()
    (Department of Economics and Management, University of Pavia)

Abstract

We study the housing market using a partial "dis"-equilibrium dynamic model in which the rational expectations hypothesis is relaxed in favor of chartist-fundamentalist mechanism to allows for the endogenous development of bubbles. Our model is able to replicate the recent house price dynamics in the US, with the preference shock being the main forcing variable. We also analyze the role of the interest rate policy. Our model supports the view that anchoring the interest rate to the change in house price would have reduced the volatility and the distortion in the price dynamics.

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File URL: http://economia.unipv.it/docs/dipeco/quad/ps/RePEc/pav/demwpp/DEMWP0036.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management in its series DEM Working Papers Series with number 036.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: Mar 2013
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:pav:demwpp:036

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Keywords: Heterogeneous agents; house price; agent-based model;

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