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Asia’s Evolving Role in Global Wine Markets

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  • Kym Anderson
  • Glyn Wittwer

Abstract

Over the past decade Hong Kong and China have become far more important to the world’s wine markets, while Southeast Asia’s imports of fine wine continue to grow steadily. This paper reviews recent developments in the light of comparative advantage theory before drawing on a model of global wine markets to project developments in Asia and elsewhere over the next five years under various economic growth, real exchange rate, and policy assumptions. It concludes that China is set to continue to be by far the most dominant player in Asia, and to change global markets for wines dramatically, just as it has been doing and will continue to do for so many other products.

Suggested Citation

  • Kym Anderson & Glyn Wittwer, 2015. "Asia’s Evolving Role in Global Wine Markets," Departmental Working Papers 2015-07, The Australian National University, Arndt-Corden Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:pas:papers:2015-07
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Natalie & Juvenal, Luciana, 2018. "Quality and the Great Trade Collapse," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 59-76.
    2. Andrew Muhammad & Amanda M. Countryman, 2019. "In Vino ‘No’ Veritas: impacts of fraud on wine imports in China," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 63(4), pages 742-758, October.
    3. Kym Anderson & Kimie Harada, 2019. "How Much Wine Is Really Produced and Consumed in China, Hong Kong, and Japan?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kym Anderson (ed.), The International Economics of Wine, chapter 15, pages 379-404, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    4. Kym Anderson, 2019. "Australian Wine Industry Competitiveness: Why so Slow to Emerge?," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kym Anderson (ed.), The International Economics of Wine, chapter 12, pages 283-308, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    5. Santeramo, Fabio G., 2017. "On Non-Tariff Measures and Changes in Trade Routes: From North-North to South-South Trade?," 2017: Globalization Adrift, December 3-5, 2017, Washington, D.C. 266809, International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium.
    6. Lara Agnoli & J. François Outreville, 2021. "Wine Consumption and Culture: A Cross‐Country Analysis," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 43(3), pages 1101-1124, September.
    7. Santeramo, F G & Lamonaca, E & Nardone, G & Seccia, A, 2018. "On the Effects of Bilateral Agreements in World Wine Trade On the Effects of Bilateral Agreements in World Wine Trade," 2018 Seventh AIEAA Conference, June 14-15, Conegliano, Italy 275644, Italian Association of Agricultural and Applied Economics (AIEAA).
    8. Anderson, Kym, 2018. "Australian wine industry competitiveness: why so slow to emerge?," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 62(4), October.
    9. Kym Anderson & Joseph Francois & Douglas Nelson & Glyn Wittwer, 2019. "Intra-Industry Trade in a Rapidly Globalizing Industry: The Case of Wine," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: Kym Anderson (ed.), The International Economics of Wine, chapter 4, pages 91-113, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    10. Masset, Philippe & Weisskopf, Jean-Philippe & Faye, Benoît & Le Fur, Eric, 2016. "Red obsession: The ascent of fine wine in China," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 200-225.
    11. Anderson, Kym & Wittwer, Glyn, 2018. "Cumulative Effects of Brexit and Other UK and EU27 Bilateral FTAs on the World’s Wine Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 12621, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Santeramo, Fabio Gaetano & Lamonaca, Emilia & Nardone, Gianluca & Seccia, Antonio, 2018. "The Benefits of Country-specific Non-Tariff Measures in World Wine Trade," MPRA Paper 90647, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Cumming, Douglas & Zhang, Yelin, 2016. "Alternative investments in emerging markets: A review and new trends," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 1-23.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    wine comparative advantage; changes in tastes; global grape and wine model projections; real exchange rate changes;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • Q13 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Markets and Marketing; Cooperatives; Agribusiness

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