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Energy Prices and Real Economic Activity in Canada: A Multi-Sector Dynamic General Equilibrium Analysis

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Author Info
Yazid Dissou () (Department of Economics, University of Ottawa)

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Abstract

As a net exporter of oil, the recent upward trend in the world prices of energy products represents both an opportunity and a challenge for Canada. This study investigates the aggregate and sectoral effects of a sustained increase in these prices on the Canadian economy using a multi-sector forward-looking dynamic general equilibrium model. Counterfactual simulation results suggest that these price shocks would be beneficial to the Canadian economy on an aggregate basis, as real GDP would increase during most periods and households would increase their consumption profile during all periods and would thereby improve their well being. Nevertheless, the price increases would also shift resources toward export booming sectors and would lead to an appreciation of the real exchange rate that would not be beneficial to traditional manufacturing export industries.

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File URL: http://www.socialsciences.uottawa.ca/eco/pdf/cahiers/0707E.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Ottawa, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0707E.

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Length: 29 pages
Date of creation: 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ott:wpaper:0707e

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Related research
Keywords: Energy prices; commodity prices; aggregate and sectoral impacts; dynamic general equilibrium modeling; Canada;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods and Programming - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Country and Industry Studies of Trade
Q33 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Resource Booms (Dutch Disease)
Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
N72 - Economic History - - Economic History: Transport, International and Domestic Trade, Energy, and Other Services - - - U.S.; Canada: 1913-

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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.

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