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Estimating Labour Market Transitions and Continuations using Repeated Cross Sectional Data

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  • Pierre Brochu

    ()
    (Department of Economics, University of Ottawa)

Abstract

This paper proposes a new approach for estimating transition (or continuation) probabilities using repeated cross sectional data. A cross sectional method is necessary when good panel data are not available. The proposed approach is uniquely designed for repeated cross-sectional analysis, and as a result, the identifying assumptions are relatively mild and easy to interpret. Canadian Labour Force data and U.S. Current Population Survey data are used to compare proposed and existing approaches. I find that the choice of method can make a difference at the inference stage.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Ottawa, Department of Economics in its series Working Papers with number 0703E.

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Length: 28 pages
Date of creation: 2007
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ott:wpaper:0703e

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Related research

Keywords: Repeated cross section data; Duration analysis; Employment;

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  1. Moffitt, Robert, 1993. "Identification and estimation of dynamic models with a time series of repeated cross-sections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 59(1-2), pages 99-123, September.
  2. Deaton, Angus, 1985. "Panel data from time series of cross-sections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 30(1-2), pages 109-126.
  3. Stephen R. G. Jones & W. Craig Riddell, . "The Measurement Of Unemployment: An Empirical Approach," Canadian International Labour Network Working Papers 09, McMaster University.
  4. Baker, Michael, 1992. "Unemployment Duration: Compositional Effects and Cyclical Variability," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 82(1), pages 313-21, March.
  5. David Neumark & Daniel Polsky & Daniel Hansen, 1997. "Has Job Stability Declined Yet? New Evidence for the 1990's," NBER Working Papers 6330, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  6. Diebold, Francis X & Neumark, David & Polsky, Daniel, 1997. "Job Stability in the United States," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 15(2), pages 206-33, April.
  7. Kenneth A. Swinnerton & Howard Wial, 1995. "Is job stability declining in the U.S. economy?," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, ILR Review, Cornell University, ILR School, vol. 48(2), pages 293-304, January.
  8. Andrew Heisz, 2005. "The evolution of job stability in Canada: trends and comparisons with U.S. results," Canadian Journal of Economics, Canadian Economics Association, vol. 38(1), pages 105-127, February.
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