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Regional Integration in Asia and Its Effects on the EU and North America

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Author Info

  • Hiro Lee

    (Osaka School of International Public Policy (OSIPP),Osaka University)

  • Robert F. Owen

    (Institute of Economics and Management of Nantes, University of Nantes)

  • Dominique van der Mensbrugghe

    (Senior Economist, The World Bank)

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    Abstract

    Consequences of free trade agreements (FTAs) among the ASEAN+3 countries and ASEAN+6 countries are explored using a dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. Quantitative assessments of intra and extra-regional effects on welfare, trade and output are offered. When both trade facilitation and endogenously determined productivity are included in the FTA scenarios, Singapore, other ASEAN countries and China would be able to realize relatively large welfare gains, while the welfare effects on the EU and North America are negligible. The trade and output effects on the latter two regions are also relatively small, with the notable exception of crops, other than rice, in North America.

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    File URL: http://www.osipp.osaka-u.ac.jp/archives/DP/2008/DP2008E012.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Osaka School of International Public Policy, Osaka University in its series OSIPP Discussion Paper with number 08E012.

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    Length: 33 pages
    Date of creation: Dec 2008
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:osp:wpaper:08e012

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    Related research

    Keywords: Regional integration; FTA; East Asia; welfare effects; CGE model;

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    References

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    1. Lee, Hiro & van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique, 2004. "EU enlargement and its impacts on East Asia," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(6), pages 843-860, January.
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    15. Fukunari KIMURA, 2006. "International Production and Distribution Networks in East Asia: Eighteen Facts, Mechanics, and Policy Implications," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 1(2), pages 326-344.
    16. S├ębastien Dessus & Kiichiro Fukasaku & Raed Safadi, 2001. "Multilateral Tariff Liberalisation and the Developing Countries," OECD Development Centre Policy Briefs 18, OECD Publishing.
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