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The Rising Share of Nonmarital Births: Fertility Choices or Marriage Behavior?

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Author Info
Jo Anna Gray () (University of Oregon Economics Department)
Jean Stockard () (University of Oregon Department of Planning, Public Policy, and Management)
Joe Stone () (University of Oregon Economics Department)

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Abstract

Much of the sharp rise in the share of nonmarital births in the United States has been attributed to changes in the fertility choices of unmarried and married women - in response, it is often argued, to various public policies. In contrast, we develop and test a model that attributes the rise to changes in marriage behavior, with no changes in fertility. A variety of empirical tests strongly supports this conclusion and invites focused attention to issues related to marriage behavior, as well as the interactions between marriage and fertility.

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File URL: http://economics.uoregon.edu/papers/UO-2004-17_Gray_Rising_Share.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by University of Oregon Economics Department in its series University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers with number 2004-17.

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Length: 33
Date of creation: 01 Nov 2004
Date of revision: 01 Nov 2005
Handle: RePEc:ore:uoecwp:2004-17

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Related research
Keywords: fertility; illegitimacy ratio; marriage; nonmarital fertility ratio; nonmarital births;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
J10 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - General
I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Hans-Peter Kohler & Joseph L. Rodgers & Kaare Christensen, 1999. "Is Fertility Behavior in Our Genes? Findings from a Danish Twin Study," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 25(2), pages 253-288. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Robert A. Moffitt, 2000. "Welfare Benefits and Female Headship in U.S. Time Series," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 90(2), pages 373-377, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  3. Jeff Grogger & Stephen G. Bronars, 2001. "The Effect of Welfare Payments on the Marriage and Fertility Behavior of Unwed Mothers: Results from a Twins Experiment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 109(3), pages 529-545, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Wendy Sigle-Rushton & Sara McLanahan, 2002. "The Living Arrangements of New Unmarried Mothers," JCPR Working Papers 262, Northwestern University/University of Chicago Joint Center for Poverty Research.
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Jo Anna Gray & Jean Stockhard & Joe A. Stone & Jean Stockard, . "The rising share of nonmarital births: A response to Ermisch, Martin, and Wu," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2008-7, University of Oregon Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  2. JoAnna Gray,JeanStockard & Gray & JoAnna Gray & Hartmut Egger, . "The rising share of nonmarital births: Fertility choice or marriage behavior?," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2008-4, University of Oregon Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  3. Joe A. Stone & JoAnnaGray, . "Race Differences in Cohort Effects on Nonmarital Fertility in the United States," University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers 2008-5, University of Oregon Economics Department. [Downloadable!]
  4. Kendall, Todd & Tamura, Robert, 2008. "Unmarried fertility, crime, and cocial stigma," MPRA Paper 8031, University Library of Munich, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  5. Brienna Perelli-Harris & Wendy Sigle-Rushton & Trude Lappegård & Paola Di Giulio & Aiva Jasilioniene & Keizer Renske & Katja Köppen & Caroline Berghammer & Michaela Kreyenfeld, 2009. "Examining nonmarital childbearing in Europe: how does union context differ across countries?," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2009-021, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-16.

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