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Coordination on Saddle-Path Solutions: The Eductive Viewpoint -- Linear Multivariate Models

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  • George W. Evans

    ()
    (University of Oregon Economics Department)

  • Roger Guesnerie

Abstract

We examine local strong rationality (LSR) in multivariate models with both forward-looking expectations and predetermined variables. Given hypothetical common knowledge restrictions that the dynamics will be close to those of a specified minimal state variable solution, we obtain eductive stability conditions for the solution to be LSR. In the saddlepoint stable case the saddle-path solution is LSR provided the model is structurally homogeneous across agents. However, the eductive stability conditions are strictly more demanding when heterogeneity is present, as can be expected in multisectoral models. Heterogeneity is thus a potentially important source of instability even in the saddlepoint stable case.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University of Oregon Economics Department in its series University of Oregon Economics Department Working Papers with number 2003-28.

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Length: 26
Date of creation: 10 Oct 2003
Date of revision: 25 Jan 2005
Handle: RePEc:ore:uoecwp:2003-28

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Keywords: Coordination; structural heterogeneity; strong rationality; eductive stability; multisectoral models;

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Cited by:
  1. Gliksberg, Baruch, . "The Role of Consumption-Labor Complementarity as a Source of Macroeconomic Instability," Working Papers WP2010/3, University of Haifa, Department of Economics, revised 01 Jun 2010.
  2. Richard Dennis & Tatiana Kirsanova, 2013. "Expectations Traps and Coordination Failures with Discretionary Policymaking," Working Papers 2013_02, Business School - Economics, University of Glasgow.
  3. Gaballo, Gaetano, 2013. "Eductive learning and the rationalizability of oligopoly games," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 120(3), pages 401-404.
  4. Bai, Yuting & Kirsanova, Tatiana, 2013. "Infrequent Fiscal Stabilization," SIRE Discussion Papers 2013-17, Scottish Institute for Research in Economics (SIRE).
  5. Mordecai Kurz, 2011. "Symposium: on the role of market belief in economic dynamics, an introduction," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 47(2), pages 189-204, June.
  6. George W. Evans & Roger Guesnerie & Bruce Mcgough, 2010. "Eductive stability in real business cycle models," PSE Working Papers halshs-00565011, HAL.
  7. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-00574957 is not listed on IDEAS
  8. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-00565011 is not listed on IDEAS
  9. repec:hal:wpaper:halshs-00587863 is not listed on IDEAS
  10. Cho, In-Koo, 2005. "Introduction to learning and bounded rationality," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 124(2), pages 127-128, October.
  11. Colucci, Domenico & Valori, Vincenzo, 2011. "Adaptive expectations and cobweb phenomena: Does heterogeneity matter?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 35(8), pages 1307-1321, August.
  12. Domenico Colucci & Vincenzo Valori, 2009. "Heterogeneous adaptive expectations and cobweb phenomena," Working Papers - Mathematical Economics 2009-01, Universita' degli Studi di Firenze, Dipartimento di Scienze per l'Economia e l'Impresa.
  13. Jara-Moroni, Pedro, 2012. "Rationalizability in games with a continuum of players," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 75(2), pages 668-684.

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