Advanced Search
MyIDEAS: Login

Coping with Ageing: A Dynamic Approach to Quantify the Impact of Alternative Policy Options on Future Labour Supply in OECD Countries

Contents:

Author Info

  • Jean-Marc Burniaux
  • Romain Duval
  • Florence Jaumotte

Abstract

In the face of the substantial ageing of population expected to occur in OECD countries over coming decades, policies that boost labour-force participation attract considerable interest. There remain large cross-country divergences in participation rates that are largely accounted for by differences in participation of specific groups, in particular prime-age women, older workers and also youth. This suggests that policies targeting these groups could have important effects. The aim of this paper is to examine whether the potential impact of several policy reforms is able to attenuate or to offset the adverse trend in aggregate participation rates that would otherwise occur because of ageing population. It uses a simple dynamic modelling framework that generates longer-term projections of participation rates and labour supplies in OECD countries and alternative scenarios of policy reforms. The main outcome of this analysis is that the combined effect of possible reforms targeting ... Faire face au vieillissement : Une approche dynamique pour mesurer l'impact d'alternatives politiques sur l'offre future de travail dans les pays de l'OCDE Les pays de l’OCDE sont confrontés à un vieillissement important de leur population au cours des décades à venir et ceci explique le regain d’intérêt considérable pour les politiques susceptibles de stimuler la participation au marché du travail. Il subsiste des différences importantes de participation entre les pays de l’OCDE qui s’expliquent en grande partie par des différences de participation de groupes spécifiques, en particulier les femmes dans la force de l’âge, les travailleurs âgés et les jeunes. Ces différences suggèrent qu’il reste une marge de manoeuvre importante pour des réformes de politique économique visant ces groupes. Le but de ce papier est d’examiner si l’impact potentiel d’un certain nombre de réformes est susceptible d’atténuer, voire de compenser, la tendance future à la diminution des taux de participation agrégés telle qu’elle résulterait du vieillissement de la population. Cette analyse utilise un modèle dynamique simple qui génère des prévisions à long ...

Download Info

If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.
File URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/224538175006
Our checks indicate that this address may not be valid because: 500 Internal Server Error (http://dx.doi.org/10.1787/224538175006 [303 See Other]--> http://www.oecd-ilibrary.org/economics/coping-with-ageing_224538175006). If this is indeed the case, please notify ()
Download Restriction: no

Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by OECD Publishing in its series OECD Economics Department Working Papers with number 371.

as in new window
Length:
Date of creation: 21 Jun 2004
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:371-en

Contact details of provider:
Postal: 2 rue Andre Pascal, 75775 Paris Cedex 16
Phone: 33-(0)-1-45 24 82 00
Fax: 33-(0)-1-45 24 85 00
Email:
Web page: http://www.oecd.org
More information through EDIRC

Related research

Keywords: demographic trends and forecasts; economics of gender; retirement policies; retirement; labour force and employment; size and structure; retraites; tendances et prévisions démographiques; force de travail et emploi; économie de l'égalité des sexes; taille et structure; politique des retraites;

Find related papers by JEL classification:

This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

References

No references listed on IDEAS
You can help add them by filling out this form.

Citations

Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
as in new window

Cited by:
  1. Christian Dudel, 2009. "The Demographic Dilemma: Fertility, Female Labor Force Participation and Future Growth in Germany 2007-2060," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 158, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).
  2. Ehing, Daniel & Moog, Stefan, 2012. "Erwerbspersonen- und Arbeitsvolumenprojektionen bis ins Jahr 2060," FZG Discussion Papers 51, Research Center for Generational Contracts (FZG), University of Freiburg.
  3. Giuseppe Carone, 2005. "Long-Term Labour Force Projections for the 25 EU Member States:A set of data for assessing the economic impact of ageing," Labor and Demography 0512006, EconWPA.
  4. Gungor Karakaya, 2009. "Early cessation of activity in the labour market: impact of supply and demand factors," DULBEA Working Papers 09-04.RS, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
  5. Lothar Funk, 2004. "Employment Opportunities for Older Workers: A Comparison of Selected OECD Countries," CESifo DICE Report, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 2(2), pages 22-33, 07.
  6. Mathieu Lefèbvre & Pierre Pestieau, 2006. "The generosity of the welfare state towards the elderly," Empirica, Springer, vol. 33(5), pages 351-360, December.
  7. Edwin van Gameren, 2008. "Labor Force Participation of Mexican Elderly: The Importance of Health," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 23(1), pages 89-127.
  8. Jürgen Janger & Johann Scharler & Alfred Stiglbauer, 2006. "The Potential Growth Prospects of the Austrian Economy — Methods and Determinants," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 1, pages 24–52.
  9. Balleer, Almut & Gómez-Salvador, Ramón & Turunen, Jarkko, 2009. "Labour force participation in the euro area: a cohort based analysis," Working Paper Series 1049, European Central Bank.
  10. A. Bovenberg, 2005. "Balancing Work and Family Life during the Life Course," De Economist, Springer, vol. 153(4), pages 399-423, December.

Lists

This item is not listed on Wikipedia, on a reading list or among the top items on IDEAS.

Statistics

Access and download statistics

Corrections

When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:371-en. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: ().

If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.

If the full references list an item that is present in RePEc, but the system did not link to it, you can help with this form.

If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.