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Unpicking Portugal’s export performance: A microdata analysis

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  • Paula Adamczyk
  • Ben Westmore

Abstract

Portugal has notably increased its international openness over recent decades, with exports’ share of GDP rising by 20 percentage points since 1993. This analysis couples microdata with panel regression techniques to investigate the drivers of Portuguese export growth over the 1995-2016 period. The results highlight that there was no one single factor behind the export expansion. While an improvement in price competitiveness played a significant role, the majority of the increase in exports was explained by other factors. These include increases in the quality of export products and weak domestic demand that prompted firms to increase their focus on foreign markets. The empirical results also suggest that the restoration of the health of the Portuguese financial sector and its further development is beneficial for export growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Paula Adamczyk & Ben Westmore, 2020. "Unpicking Portugal’s export performance: A microdata analysis," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1618, OECD Publishing.
    • Handle: RePEc:oec:ecoaaa:1618-en
    DOI: 10.1787/71df6aa3-en
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    competitiveness; export performance; financial development; international trade; microdata; Portugal;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F10 - International Economics - - Trade - - - General
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F43 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Economic Growth of Open Economies
    • F65 - International Economics - - Economic Impacts of Globalization - - - Finance
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C55 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Large Data Sets: Modeling and Analysis

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