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Inter-forecast monetary policy implementation: fixed-instrument versus MCI-based strategies

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Author Info
Ben Hunt (Reserve Bank of New Zealand)
Abstract

Monetary policy authorities can adjust their instrument at any point in time to achieve their policy objective. In some countries, such as the United States and the United Kingdom, policymakers choose to usually make adjustments only after a formal medium-term inflation forecast. Other countries, like Canada and New Zealand, have used simple inter-forecast strategies to make further instrument adjustments given unexpected developments in the exchange rate. These alternative strategies may be usefully thought of as fixing or banding a measure of "monetary conditions" that is comprised of the exchange rate and a short-term interest rate that is closely linked to the policy instrument. Such measures have come to be referred to as Monetary Conditions Indices (MCI).

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File URL: http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research/discusspapers/g99_1.pdf
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Paper provided by Reserve Bank of New Zealand in its series Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series with number G99/1.

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Length: 33p
Date of creation: Mar 1999
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Handle: RePEc:nzb:nzbdps:1999/01

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1997. "Monetary Policy Rules in Practice: Some International Evidence," NBER Working Papers 6254, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  2. Duguay, Pierre, 1994. "Empirical evidence on the strength of the monetary transmission mechanism in Canada: An aggregate approach," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 39-61, February. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Richard Dennis, 1997. "A measure of monetary conditions," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G97/1, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
  4. Ben Hunt, 1995. "The effect of foreign demand shocks on the Canadian economy: An analysis using QPM," Bank of Canada Review, Bank of Canada, vol. 1995(Autumn), pages 23-32. [Downloadable!]
  5. Aaron Drew & Ben Hunt, 1998. "The Forecasting and Policy System: stochastic simulations of the core model," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G98/6, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
  6. William Poole, 1970. "Optimal choice of monetary policy instruments in a simple stochastic macro model," Staff Studies 57, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
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  7. Svensson, Lars E. O., 1997. "Inflation forecast targeting: Implementing and monitoring inflation targets," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1111-1146, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  8. F. Brayton & P. Tinsley, 1996. "A guide to FRB/US: a macroeconomic model of the United States," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 96-42, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.). [Downloadable!]
  9. Paul Conway & Aaron Drew & Ben Hunt & Alasdair Scott, 1998. "Exchange rate effects and inflation targeting in a small open economy: a stochastic analysis using FPS," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G99/4, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
  10. Buiter, Willem H, 1988. "Death, Birth, Productivity Growth and Debt Neutrality," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 98(391), pages 279-93, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  11. Weil, Philippe, 1989. "Overlapping families of infinitely-lived agents," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 38(2), pages 183-198, March. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Aaron Drew, 2001. "Lessons from Inflation Targeting in New Zealand," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 113, Central Bank of Chile. [Downloadable!]
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