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The Forecasting and Policy System: demand-side satellite models

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Author Info
James Breece
Vincenzo Cassino (Reserve Bank of New Zealand)
Abstract

This paper presents three satellite models for the Forecasting and Policy System (FPS). Satellite models are used to disaggregate the projections generated by the core model into a more detailed profile. The household expenditure, exports, and business investment satellite models disaggregate the relevant macroeconomic variables by modelling the shares of each aggregate allocated to each expenditure item. The models are assessed by examining their dynamic properties in response to artificial shocks and their ability to track historical data.

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File URL: http://www.rbnz.govt.nz/research/discusspapers/g98_3.pdf
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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Reserve Bank of New Zealand in its series Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series with number G98/3.

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Length: 28p
Date of creation: May 1998
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Handle: RePEc:nzb:nzbdps:1998/03

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Other Model Applications
E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation

Cited by:
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  1. Aaron Drew & Ben Hunt, 1998. "The Forecasting and Policy System: preparing economic projections," Reserve Bank of New Zealand Discussion Paper Series G98/7, Reserve Bank of New Zealand. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2008-11-9.


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