Whenever unsustainable current government budget deficits predict future changes in monetary growth through the government's intertemporal budget constraint, fiscal variables become important exchange rate determinants. Failure to understand sustained rates of depreciation, seemingly unjustified by similar differentials in current fundamentals, or the liquidity effect of an open market operation may be due to failure to link future monetary growth to current policy. These ideas are presented using an intertemporal current account theory of the nominal exchange rate. The theory is supported by the mathematical equivalence of intertemporal current account balance and the absence of speculative bubbles in national money markets.
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Paper provided by University at Albany, SUNY, Department of Economics in its series Discussion Papers with number
97-05.
Length: 26 pages Date of creation: 1997 Date of revision: Handle: RePEc:nya:albaec:97-05
Contact details of provider: Postal: Department of Economics, BA 110 University at Albany State University of New York Albany, NY 12222 U.S.A. Phone: (518) 442-4735 Fax: (518) 442-4736
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Find related papers by JEL classification: F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
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