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Estimating English Wheat Production in the Industrial Revolution

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  • Liam Brunt

    (Nuffield College, Oxford)

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    Abstract

    Wheat was the single most important product of the British economy during the Industrial Revolution, being both the largest component of national income and the primary determinant of caloric intake. This paper offers new estimates of annual wheat production during industrialisation. Whereas other researchers infer wheat production indirectly from demand equations, we estimate production directly from output equations. Our estimates are based on a new time series model of wheat yields, encompassing both environmental and technological variables. We trace the impact of war and population growth on wheat yields, mediated through changes in the economic incentives for wheat cultivation. We test the accuracy of our new wheat output series by modelling the market price of wheat in England between 1700 and 1825.

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    File URL: http://www.economics.ox.ac.uk/materials/papers/2266/30braham.pdf
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    Bibliographic Info

    Paper provided by Economics Group, Nuffield College, University of Oxford in its series Oxford University Economic and Social History Series with number _029.

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    Length: 20 pages
    Date of creation: 01 Jun 1999
    Date of revision:
    Handle: RePEc:nuf:esohwp:_029

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    Web page: http://www.nuff.ox.ac.uk/economics/

    Related research

    Keywords: Technology; climate; agriculture.;

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    Cited by:
    1. Jane Humphries & Tim Leunig, 2007. "Cities, Market Integration and Going to Sea: Stunting and the Standard of Living in Early Nineteenth-Century England and Wales," Economics Series Working Papers 2007-W66, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.
    2. Guillaume Daudin, 2008. "Domestic Trade and Market Size in Late Eighteenth-Century France," Economics Series Working Papers 69, University of Oxford, Department of Economics.

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