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A theory of civil conflict and democracy in rentier states

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Author Info
Silje Aslaksen () (Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology)
Ragnar Torvik () (Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology)

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Abstract

The effects of resource rents on the political equilibrium have been studied in two main types of models. The first tradition employs models of conflict, and studies how resource rents affect the intensity and duration of civil conflict. The second tradition employs political economy models, where resource rents affect the political equilibrium because the costs and benefits of buying votes change. Although providing much insight, a primary disadvantage of these two model traditions is that they have little to say about when democracy emerges, and about when conflict emerges. This question is simply determined by the type of model one chooses to study. Yet an important empirical literature suggests that a main effect of resource rents may be exactly that it affects the political choice between democracy and civil conflict. In this paper, by integrating the earlier model traditions, we suggest the simplest possible framework we can think of to study this choice. The institutional outcome in our theory is consequently endogenous. We show how factors such as resource rents, the extent of electoral competition, and productivity affect economic and political equilibria, and discuss how our approach, mechanisms and results differ from the earlier theories.

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Paper provided by Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology in its series Working Paper Series with number 5805.

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Length: 20 pages
Date of creation: 15 May 2005
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Handle: RePEc:nst:samfok:5805

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Keywords: Political economy Resource curse Endogenous democratic institutions

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
H1 - Public Economics - - Structure and Scope of Government
D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
D74 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Conflict; Conflict Resolution; Alliances
Q32 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - Exhaustible Resources and Economic Development

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References listed on IDEAS
Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Tullock, Gordon, 1975. "On the Efficient Organization of Trials," Kyklos, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 28(4), pages 745-62.
  2. Halvor Mehlum & Karl Moene, 2002. "Battlefields And Marketplaces," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 13(6), pages 485-496, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  3. Daron Acemoglu & James A. Robinson, 2001. "A Theory of Political Transitions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(4), pages 938-963, September. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Pranab Bardhan & Tsung-Tao Yang, 2004. "Political Competition in Economic Perspective," Development and Comp Systems 0407009, EconWPA. [Downloadable!]
  5. Skaperdas, Stergios, 1996. "Contest Success Functions," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 283-90, February.
  6. Robinson, James A & Torvik, Ragnar & Verdier, Thierry, 2002. "Political Foundations of the Resource Curse," CEPR Discussion Papers 3422, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Coate, Stephen & Morris, Stephen, 1995. "On the Form of Transfers in Special Interests," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 103(6), pages 1210-35, December. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  8. Stergios Skaperdas, 1996. "Contest success functions (*)," Economic Theory, Springer, vol. 7(2), pages 283-290.
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Cited by:
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  1. Tsuyoshi Adachi & Yasuhiko Nakamura, 2008. "A Theory of Civil Conflict and Democracy in Unequal Societies," Economics Bulletin, Economics Bulletin, vol. 8(2), pages 1-11. [Downloadable!]
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