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Oil Shocks and the Euro as an Optimum Currency Area

Author

Listed:
  • Luís Francisco Aguiar-Conraria

    (Universidade do Minho - NIPE)

  • Teresa Maria Rodrigues

    (University of Minho)

  • Maria Joana Soares

    (Universidade do Minho)

Abstract

We use wavelet analysis to study the impact of the Euro adoption on the oil price macroeconomy relation in the Euroland. We uncover evidence that the oil-macroeconomy relation changed in the past decades. We show that after the Euro adoption some countries became more similar with respect to how their macroeconomies react to oil shocks. However, we also conclude that the adoption of the common currency did not contribute to a higher degree of synchronization between Portugal, Ireland and Belgium and the rest of the countries in the Euroland. On the contrary, in these countries the macroeconomic reaction to an oil shock became more asymmetric after adopting the Euro.

Suggested Citation

  • Luís Francisco Aguiar-Conraria & Teresa Maria Rodrigues & Maria Joana Soares, 2013. "Oil Shocks and the Euro as an Optimum Currency Area," NIPE Working Papers 01/2013, NIPE - Universidade do Minho.
    • Handle: RePEc:nip:nipewp:01/2013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil prices; Business cyles; the Euro; Optimum Currency Areas; Wavelet analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • F44 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Business Cycles

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