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Monetary policy inertia or persistent shocks: a DSGE analysis

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  • Carrillo, Julio

    (Maastricht University)

  • Fève, Patrick
  • Matheron, Julien

Abstract

In this paper, we propose a simple econometric framework to disentangle the respective roles of monetary policy inertia and persistent shocks in interest rate rules. We exploit the restrictions of a DSGE model that is confronted with a monetary SVAR. We show that, provided enough informative variables are included in the formal test, the data favor a monetary policy representation with modest inertia and highly serially correlated monetary shocks. To the contrary, when the procedure is based solely on the dynamic behavior of the nominal interest rate, no clear-cut conclusion can be reached about the correct representation of monetary policy.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Maastricht University in its series Open Access publications from Maastricht University with number urn:nbn:nl:ui:27-19768.

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Date of creation: 2007
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Publication status: Published in The International Journal of Central Banking (IJCB) (2007) v.3, p.1-38
Handle: RePEc:ner:maastr:urn:nbn:nl:ui:27-19768

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Cited by:
  1. Glenn Rudebusch & Eric Swanson, 2008. "The bond premium in a DSGE model with long-run real and nominal risks," Working Paper Series 2008-31, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  2. Céline Poilly, 2007. "Does Money Matter for the Identification of Monetary Policy Shocks: A DSGE Perspective," THEMA Working Papers 2007-23, THEMA (THéorie Economique, Modélisation et Applications), Université de Cergy-Pontoise.
  3. Olivier Coibion & Yuriy Gorodnichenko, 2011. "Why are target interest rate changes so persistent?," Working Papers 106, Department of Economics, College of William and Mary.
  4. Carrillo, Julio A., 2008. "Comment on Identification with Taylor Rules: is it indeed impossible? Extended version," Research Memoranda 034, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization.
  5. Söderberg, Johan, 2010. "Non-uniform staggered prices and output persistence," Working Paper Series 2009:19, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
  6. Glenn D. Rudebusch & Eric T. Swanson, 2008. "Examining the bond premium puzzle with a DSGE model," Working Paper Series 2007-25, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  7. Jang, Tae-Seok, 2012. "Structural estimation of the New-Keynesian Model: a formal test of backward- and forward-looking expectations," MPRA Paper 39669, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  8. Jang, Tae-Seok, 2012. "Structural estimation of the New-Keynesian Model: a formal test of backward- and forward-looking expectations," MPRA Paper 40278, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  9. V. Lewis & C. Poilly, 2011. "Firm Entry, Inflation and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 11/705, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
  10. Carrillo Julio A., 2010. "How Well Does Sticky Information Explain Inflation and Output Inertia?," Research Memoranda 018, Maastricht : METEOR, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization.
  11. Jang, Tae-Seok, 2012. "Structural estimation of the New-Keynesian model: A formal test of backward- and forward-looking behavior," Economics Working Papers 2012-07, Christian-Albrechts-University of Kiel, Department of Economics.

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