Welfare effects of alternative financing of social security. Some calculations for Belgium
Abstract
We analyse the distributional impact of lowering social security contributions and compensating the revenue loss by an increase in indirect taxes. We empirically assess the distributional consequences of this shift by using two Belgian microsimulation models: modété for the tax benefit system, and aster for the indirect tax part. Since the underlying micro database of the tax benefit system does not contain expenditures, we first impute detailed expenditures in the income data survey, by means of semiparametric Engelcurves. The currently living generation of pensioners belongs to the losers by such a reform: They do not profit from the reduced tax on labour income, but pay higher consumption prices. Less obvious, also part of the working population loses. Even not all those who leave unemployment after the reform are gainers. We also investigate the sensitivity of the results w.r.t. the choice of welfare measure to assess the combined change in disposable income, consumer prices and - in the case of exible labour supply - leisure. We show how the specific choice and parameters of the welfare measure will influence the conclusions, possibly even more than the predictive model for assessing the behavioural reactions in labour supply.Download Info
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Paper provided by Katholieke Universiteit Leuven in its series Open Access publications from Katholieke Universiteit Leuven with number urn:hdl:123456789/196761.Length:
Date of creation: 2008
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:ner:leuven:urn:hdl:123456789/196761
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Web page: http://www.kuleuven.be
Related research
Keywords:Other versions of this item:
- Bart Capéau & André De coster & Kris De Swerdt & Kristian Orsini, 2008. "Welfare effects of alternative financing of social security. Some calculations for Belgium," Center for Economic Studies - Discussion papers ces0812, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Centrum voor Economische Studiën.
- D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
- H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household
- H55 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - Social Security and Public Pensions
- J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply
References
References listed on IDEASPlease report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Francesco Figari & Paulus, A. (Alari), 2012. "GINI DP 28: The impact of indirect taxes and imputed rent on inequality: A comparison with cash transfers and direct taxes in five EU countries," GINI Discussion Papers 28, AIAS, Amsterdam Institute for Advanced Labour Studies.
- Decoster, André & De Swerdt, Kris & Orsini, Kristian, 2008.
"A Belgian flat income tax: effects on labour supply and income distribution,"
Open Access publications from Katholieke Universiteit Leuven
urn:hdl:123456789/196767, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven.
- A. Decoster & K. De Swerdt & K. Orsini, 2010. "A Belgian Flat Income Tax: Effects on Labour Supply and Income Distribution," Review of Business and Economic Literature, Intersentia, vol. 0(1), pages 23-55, March.
- André Decoster & Kris De Swerdt & Kristian Orsini, 2010. "A Belgian Flat Income Tax. Effects on Labour Supply and Income Distribution," Review of Business and Economics, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Faculteit Economie en Bedrijfswetenschappen, vol. 0(1), pages 23-54.
- André Decoster & Kris De Swerdt & Kristian Orsini, 2008. "A Belgian flat income tax: effects on labour supply and income distribution," Center for Economic Studies - Discussion papers ces0820, Katholieke Universiteit Leuven, Centrum voor Economische Studiën.
- DeCoster, Andre & De Swerdt, Kris & Orsini, Kristian, 2008. "A Belgian flat income tax: effects on labour supply and income distribution," EUROMOD Working Papers EM8/08, EUROMOD at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.
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