Trends and cycles in regional economic growth : how spatial differences formed the Swedish growth experience 1860-2009
Abstract
Using a novel dataset on regional GDP per worker 1860-2009, this paper analyzes communalities in regional long-term growth trajectories for 24 Swedish provinces. Wavelet Analysis and Principal Component Analysis are used to decompose regional growth trajectories, and to assess to what extent growth in regions share common trend and cyclical properties. It is found that regional trend growth shows strong common features among groups of regions. Primarily natural resource rich regions benefited from the First Industrial Revolution. Contrary to regional development in many other European economies, a strong growth surge in Sweden later benefited virtually the whole country during the Second Industrial Revolution. Growth in this countrywide trend slowed down in the 1970s, when the metropolitan regions became main growth engines. In mid- and short-term cyclical movements regions display more heterogeneous growth patterns, and evidence of mid-term sequential lead-lag patterns in regional growth is found, especially between core and periphery.Download Info
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Handle: RePEc:ner:carlos:info:hdl:10016/9517
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Related research
Keywords: Economic history; Economic geography; Regional growth; Wavelet analysis; Sweden;Other versions of this item:
- Martin Henning & Kerstin Enflo & Fredrik NG Andersson, 2010. "Trends and cycles in regional economic growth : how spatial differences formed the Swedish growth experience 1860-2009," Working Papers in Economic History wp10-10, Universidad Carlos III, Departamento de Historia Económica e Instituciones.
- N9 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History
- O14 - Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Industrialization; Manufacturing and Service Industries; Choice of Technology
- R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models
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Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.Cited by:
- Kerstin Enflo & Joan Ramón Rosés, 2012.
"Coping with Regional Inequality in Sweden: Structural Change, Migrations and Policy, 1860-2000,"
Working Papers
0029, European Historical Economics Society (EHES).
- Enflo, Kerstin & Rosés, Joan, 2012. "Coping with Regional Inequality in Sweden: Structural Change, Migrations and Policy, 1860-2000," Lund Papers in Economic History 122, Department of Economic History, Lund University.
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